Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.677993 4.399015 5.203925 6.166141 7.282004 8.532091 10.035228
2025-07-13 2.819894 3.792943 4.991581 6.563993 8.558118 10.987253 14.152759
2025-07-20 2.220153 3.296548 4.735382 6.770764 9.541980 13.144815 18.137018
2025-07-27 1.854109 2.996499 4.632943 7.097654 10.653695 15.524982 22.610740
2025-08-03 1.504048 2.630495 4.350331 7.092195 11.258278 17.234075 26.301632
2025-08-10 1.187043 2.241054 3.951648 6.829118 11.416987 18.282075 29.106917
2025-08-17 0.950109 1.929407 3.613019 6.590072 11.551337 19.265647 31.856763
2025-08-24 0.802226 1.741207 3.441798 6.585837 12.033698 20.793126 35.523412
2025-08-31 0.686016 1.586860 3.300919 6.604856 12.540374 22.381859 39.388158
2025-09-07 0.579584 1.428635 3.124950 6.530820 12.867177 23.687806 42.876937
2025-09-14 0.468025 1.234379 2.846290 6.223225 12.736429 24.199630 45.070180
2025-09-21 0.402143 1.126916 2.722603 6.192688 13.098754 25.573733 48.804170
2025-09-28 0.343519 1.025177 2.598120 6.151217 13.449730 26.981451 52.751226
2025-10-05 0.323190 1.014877 2.672218 6.530664 14.656354 30.031789 59.828226
2025-10-12 0.292865 0.971342 2.663598 6.730959 15.523358 32.517414 66.052194
2025-10-19 0.273090 0.952237 2.709007 7.054375 16.669657 35.608161 73.583040
2025-10-26 0.238235 0.880850 2.614957 7.048397 17.123935 37.399043 78.796870
2025-11-02 0.196916 0.778193 2.423216 6.786594 16.999625 38.040666 81.860025
2025-11-09 0.163326 0.689957 2.252305 6.548815 16.897989 38.709810 85.005685
2025-11-16 0.143159 0.641078 2.179821 6.544588 17.318032 40.464944 90.386736
2025-11-23 0.126376 0.599245 2.119741 6.563497 17.791223 42.359774 96.157016
2025-11-30 0.109195 0.550334 2.029523 6.489870 18.036654 43.786123 101.056131
2025-12-07 0.088827 0.481204 1.863087 6.183981 17.687064 43.900793 103.249369